ATP tennis predict — Zsombor Piros vs Max Alcala Gurri

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Zsombor Piros

Hungary

84.32%

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

15.68%

Average Odds

1.23 / 3.98

Market probability

76.39% / 23.61%

Why This Prediction?

Zsombor Piros is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1744 vs 1398), a higher Elo rating (1794 vs 1684) and more wins on hard courts (70 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1793.7 Elo 1684.4

1744.3 Elo (surface) 1397.6

30 Wins 1

17 Wins (surface) 0

6 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.029 Dominance ratio 0.730

118 Rank 177

26.9 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zsombor Piros

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–4L · 76.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zsombor Piros Max Alcala Gurri

1st Serve In %

54.2%

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

52.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.08

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.52

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.2%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zsombor Piros Max Alcala Gurri

Break Points Saved %

70.4%

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zsombor Piros 0 – 0 Max Alcala Gurri

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Zsombor Piros #118

Max Alcala Gurri #177

6-2 6-1

4 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 3

64 Service Points 43

26 First Serve In 26

17 First Serve Won 11

22 Second Serve Won 6

3 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 6

26 Winners 8

21 Unforced Errors 10

1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Zsombor Piros vs Max Alcala Gurri — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Zsombor Piros — Last 10

Max Alcala Gurri — Last 10