ATP tennis predict — Zsombor Piros vs Guy Den Ouden

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · QF 14:00

Predicted probability

Zsombor Piros

Hungary

63.44%

Guy Den Ouden

Netherlands

36.56%

Average Odds

1.60 / 2.23

Market probability

58.22% / 41.78%

Why This Prediction?

Zsombor Piros is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1821 vs 1694), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1847 vs 1759) and more wins on clay courts (145 vs 63).

Player Comparison

1821.1 Elo 1694.1

1847.4 Elo (surface) 1758.6

218 Wins (Challenger) 70

145 Wins (surface) 63

13 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.164 Dominance ratio 1.131

123 Rank 222

26.8 Age 24.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zsombor Piros

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–4L · 76.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Guy Den Ouden

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zsombor Piros Guy Den Ouden

1st Serve In %

54.2%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.2%

53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

36.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zsombor Piros Guy Den Ouden

Break Points Saved %

70.4%

61.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

55.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

49.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zsombor Piros 0 – 0 Guy Den Ouden

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-07

QF

Zsombor Piros #123

Guy Den Ouden #222

6-4 6-1

2 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 4

60 Service Points 50

37 First Serve In 32

22 First Serve Won 19

18 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Zsombor Piros vs Guy Den Ouden — Prediction