ATP tennis predict — Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moller

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · R16 11:00

Predicted probability

Zsombor Piros

Hungary

63.66%

Elmer Moller

Denmark

36.34%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.25

Market probability

59.06% / 40.94%

Why This Prediction?

Zsombor Piros is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1868 vs 1691), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1839 vs 1727) and more wins on clay courts (148 vs 76).

Player Comparison

1867.7 Elo 1691.0

1839.5 Elo (surface) 1727.3

221 Wins (Challenger) 91

148 Wins (surface) 76

11 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.162 Dominance ratio 1.124

114 Rank 181

27.0 Age 23.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zsombor Piros

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–5L · 73.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Elmer Moller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zsombor Piros Elmer Moller

1st Serve In %

54.2%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

60.1%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.5%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.7%

54.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zsombor Piros Elmer Moller

Break Points Saved %

70.4%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

29.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.1%

59.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

48.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zsombor Piros 1 – 0 Elmer Moller

Clay Zagreb CH · 2026-05-11

SF

Zsombor Piros #163

Elmer Moller #153

6-2 3-6 6-4

2 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 5

92 Service Points 77

48 First Serve In 58

30 First Serve Won 36

23 Second Serve Won 7

6 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moller — Prediction