ATP tennis predict — Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Rincon

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Zsombor Piros

Hungary

66.17%

Daniel Rincon

Spain

33.83%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.64

Market probability

64.71% / 35.29%

Why This Prediction?

Zsombor Piros is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1827 vs 1699), a higher Elo rating (1804 vs 1687) and a stronger return game (38.8% vs 33.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1803.9 Elo 1687.2

1826.9 Elo (surface) 1698.8

216 Wins (Challenger) 105

143 Wins (surface) 76

12 Last 15 form 10

3 Head-to-head wins 1

1.006 Dominance ratio 1.098

123 Rank 203

26.8 Age 23.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zsombor Piros

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–4L · 76.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Daniel Rincon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zsombor Piros Daniel Rincon

1st Serve In %

54.2%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.2%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zsombor Piros Daniel Rincon

Break Points Saved %

70.4%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zsombor Piros 3 – 1 Daniel Rincon

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Zsombor Piros #123

Daniel Rincon #203

7-6 6-0

2 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 2

65 Service Points 68

37 First Serve In 40

24 First Serve Won 24

16 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 12

3 Break Points Faced 17

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Clay Ostrava CH · 2025-04-28

QF

Zsombor Piros #270

Daniel Rincon #217

6-3 7-5

2 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 3

57 Service Points 82

31 First Serve In 53

23 First Serve Won 32

18 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 8

1 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Madrid CH · 2025-04-07

R32

Zsombor Piros #250

Daniel Rincon #223

7-6(2) 3-6 7-5

2 Aces 9

3 Double Faults 4

91 Service Points 104

54 First Serve In 60

37 First Serve Won 41

24 Second Serve Won 23

3 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Lisbon CH · 2024-09-23

R32

Zsombor Piros #249

Daniel Rincon #271

7-6(2) 6-4

2 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 2

81 Service Points 71

55 First Serve In 48

38 First Serve Won 32

12 Second Serve Won 10

5 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Amersfoort CH · 2024-07-15

R16

Daniel Rincon #251

Zsombor Piros #196

6-2 3-6 6-3

6 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 4

96 Service Points 78

56 First Serve In 47

42 First Serve Won 31

21 Second Serve Won 19

7 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Rincon — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Zsombor Piros — Last 10

Daniel Rincon — Last 10