ATP tennis predict — Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · QF 22:30

Predicted probability

Zizou Bergs

Belgium

46.45%

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

53.55%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.70

Market probability

65.53% / 34.47%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1793.5 Elo 1759.5

1707.5 Elo (surface) 1695.0

125 Wins (Challenger) 67

65 Wins (surface) 38

12 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.191 Dominance ratio 1.076

33 Rank 157

27.2 Age 21.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zizou Bergs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Stefanos Sakellaridis

1st Serve In %

60.9%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

46.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Stefanos Sakellaridis

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zizou Bergs 0 – 1 Stefanos Sakellaridis

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-21

QF

Stefanos Sakellaridis #157

Zizou Bergs #33

7-6 4-6 6-4

7 Aces 9

6 Double Faults 10

89 Service Points 113

57 First Serve In 65

44 First Serve Won 51

19 Second Serve Won 23

2 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Hard United Cup · 2023-01-02

RR

Stefanos Sakellaridis #803

Zizou Bergs #129

5-7 6-1 6-3

8 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 5

86 Service Points 86

50 First Serve In 52

37 First Serve Won 33

21 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridis — Prediction