ATP tennis predict — Zizou Bergs vs Jesper De Jong

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Zizou Bergs

Belgium

52.21%

Jesper De Jong

Netherlands

47.79%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.94

Market probability

67.74% / 32.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1790.0 Elo 1693.3

1697.7 Elo (surface) 1650.6

110 Wins 66

68 Wins (surface) 28

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.000 Dominance ratio 1.131

37 Rank 100

27.2 Age 26.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zizou Bergs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Jesper De Jong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Jesper De Jong

1st Serve In %

60.9%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%

75.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

39.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Jesper De Jong

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%

45.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zizou Bergs 0 – 0 Jesper De Jong

Hard US Open · 2026-09-04

2. round

Zizou Bergs #37

Jesper De Jong #100

7-5 1-6 6-2 7-6

11 Aces 6

8 Double Faults 16

118 Service Points 140

89 First Serve In 82

58 First Serve Won 51

11 Second Serve Won 26

5 Break Points Saved 10

11 Break Points Faced 17

41 Winners 22

65 Unforced Errors 41

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Zizou Bergs vs Jesper De Jong — Prediction