ATP tennis predict — Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Zizou Bergs

Belgium

84.63%

Carlos Taberner

Spain

15.37%

Average Odds

1.04 / 12.23

Market probability

92.16% / 7.84%

Why This Prediction?

Zizou Bergs is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1790 vs 1498), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1698 vs 1458) and more wins on hard courts (66 vs 16).

Player Comparison

1790.0 Elo 1497.6

1697.7 Elo (surface) 1458.0

110 Wins 55

68 Wins (surface) 14

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.000 Dominance ratio 0.915

37 Rank 406

27.2 Age 29.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zizou Bergs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Carlos Taberner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Carlos Taberner

1st Serve In %

60.9%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Carlos Taberner

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

47.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

52.8%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%

36.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zizou Bergs 0 – 0 Carlos Taberner

Hard US Open · 2026-09-03

1. round

Zizou Bergs #37

Carlos Taberner #406

6-3 3-6 6-2 6-2

9 Aces 0

6 Double Faults 3

70 Service Points 71

49 First Serve In 42

36 First Serve Won 27

13 Second Serve Won 15

5 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 7

43 Winners 6

25 Unforced Errors 9

1.0 Average Odds 11.7

Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner — Prediction