Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz — Prediction
Predicted probability
Average Odds
9.42 / 1.06
Market probability
10.11% / 89.89%
Why This Prediction?
Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2393 vs 1950), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2306 vs 1857) and a stronger return game (41.1% vs 38.1% of return points won).
Player Comparison
Performance vs. the Odds
Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.
Zizou Bergs
23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.
Carlos Alcaraz
12 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.
Serve & Return
Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.
1st Serve In %
1st Serve Points Won %
2nd Serve Points Won %
Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %
Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %
Aces per Service Game
Double Faults per Service Game
Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.
1st Serve In %
1st Serve Points Won %
2nd Serve Points Won %
Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %
Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %
Aces per Service Game
Double Faults per Service Game
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Break Point Performance
How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.
Break Points Saved %
Break Points Converted %
Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.
Break Points Saved %
Break Points Converted %
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Head-to-Head
Zizou Bergs 0 – 1 Carlos Alcaraz