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Zizou Bergs vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 3. round 22:30

Predicted probability

Zizou Bergs

Belgium

54.84%

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

45.16%

Average Odds

2.74  /  1.45

Market probability

34.61%  /  65.39%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1802.8 Elo 1786.4
1716.7 Elo (surface) 1732.4
112 Wins 174
70 Wins (surface) 117
10 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.084 Dominance ratio 1.107
37 Rank 70
27.3 Age 30.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zizou Bergs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Botic Van De Zandschulp

1st Serve In %

60.9%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%
74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%
44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%
29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%
54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.50
0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%
60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%
71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%
45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%
38.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%
59.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.56
0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38
0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Botic Van De Zandschulp

Break Points Saved %

46.8%
62.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%
48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%
45.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zizou Bergs 00 Botic Van De Zandschulp

Hard US Open · 2026-09-05
3-6 7-6 4-6 7-6 6-3
11 Aces 15
12 Double Faults 16
185 Service Points 161
107 First Serve In 87
76 First Serve Won 63
36 Second Serve Won 35
8 Break Points Saved 5
14 Break Points Faced 12
52 Winners 37
54 Unforced Errors 46
1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Zizou Bergs — Last 10

L W W W L L L W L L

Botic Van De Zandschulp — Last 10

L W W W W L W W L W