ATP tennis predict — Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton

ATP Hard Montreal · 3. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Zizou Bergs

Belgium

29.97%

Ben Shelton

USA

70.03%

Average Odds

3.15 / 1.36

Market probability

30.16% / 69.84%

Why This Prediction?

Ben Shelton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1805 vs 1738), a higher Elo rating (1893 vs 1813) and a stronger serve (68.7% vs 62.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1813.3 Elo 1893.0

1738.2 Elo (surface) 1804.8

110 Wins 140

68 Wins (surface) 96

8 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.973 Dominance ratio 0.969

34 Rank 10

27.2 Age 23.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zizou Bergs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ben Shelton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–1L · 91.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Ben Shelton

1st Serve In %

60.9%

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

75.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

57.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%

75.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

56.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Ben Shelton

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

74.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zizou Bergs 0 – 1 Ben Shelton

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-07

3. round

Ben Shelton #10

Zizou Bergs #34

6-3 6-2

5 Aces 8

4 Double Faults 0

44 Service Points 45

20 First Serve In 30

17 First Serve Won 26

11 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 0

12 Winners 15

23 Unforced Errors 6

1.4 Average Odds 3.1

Clay Houston · 2024-04-01

R16

Ben Shelton #16

Zizou Bergs #111

3-6 6-4 6-3

3 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 6

84 Service Points 100

57 First Serve In 63

43 First Serve Won 43

13 Second Serve Won 17

7 Break Points Saved 13

9 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton — Prediction