ATP tennis predict — Zizou Bergs vs Andrea Pellegrino

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · R16 00:40

Predicted probability

Zizou Bergs

Belgium

81.67%

Andrea Pellegrino

Italy

18.33%

Average Odds

1.20 / 4.23

Market probability

77.90% / 22.10%

Why This Prediction?

Zizou Bergs is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1708 vs 1410), a higher Elo rating (1793 vs 1708) and more wins on hard courts (68 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1793.5 Elo 1708.2

1707.5 Elo (surface) 1409.7

125 Wins (Challenger) 213

65 Wins (surface) 21

12 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.191 Dominance ratio 0.981

33 Rank 135

27.2 Age 29.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zizou Bergs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Andrea Pellegrino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Andrea Pellegrino

1st Serve In %

60.9%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

46.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

60.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

28.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

39.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zizou Bergs Andrea Pellegrino

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

60.6%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zizou Bergs 1 – 0 Andrea Pellegrino

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-21

R16

Zizou Bergs #33

Andrea Pellegrino #135

6-3 6-2

8 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 4

56 Service Points 65

29 First Serve In 31

25 First Serve Won 18

15 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Hard Cherbourg CH · 2022-02-07

R32

Zizou Bergs #188

Andrea Pellegrino #214

7-6(4) 6-4

8 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 1

90 Service Points 80

62 First Serve In 54

45 First Serve Won 37

14 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Zizou Bergs vs Andrea Pellegrino — Prediction