ATP tennis predict — Zijiang Yang vs Thomas Fancutt

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Zijiang Yang

China

22.24%

Thomas Fancutt

Australia

77.76%

Average Odds

10.41 / 1.03

Market probability

9.00% / 91.00%

Why This Prediction?

Thomas Fancutt is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1464 vs 1397), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1455 vs 1391) and better recent form (8 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1396.9 Elo 1464.3

1391.5 Elo (surface) 1454.7

0 Wins (Challenger) 44

0 Wins (surface) 38

0 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.442 Dominance ratio 0.795

- Rank 712

26.0 Age 31.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zijiang Yang

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Thomas Fancutt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zijiang Yang Thomas Fancutt

1st Serve In %

—

54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

17.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

53.9%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.9%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

14.8%

17.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.8%

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.80

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zijiang Yang Thomas Fancutt

Break Points Saved %

—

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

61.2%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

21.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zijiang Yang 0 – 0 Thomas Fancutt

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Thomas Fancutt #712

Zijiang Yang #-

6-4 7-6

2 Aces 21

0 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

42 First Serve Won 46

11 Second Serve Won 8

7 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 10.4

Zijiang Yang vs Thomas Fancutt — Prediction