ATP tennis predict — Ziga Sesko vs Alexandre Muller

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Ziga Sesko

Slovenia

12.69%

Alexandre Muller

France

87.31%

Average Odds

3.01 / 1.35

Market probability

30.96% / 69.04%

Why This Prediction?

Alexandre Muller is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1628 vs 1489), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1604 vs 1552) and more wins on hard courts (59 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1488.5 Elo 1628.3

1551.7 Elo (surface) 1603.7

0 Wins (Challenger) 175

0 Wins (surface) 59

0 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.972 Dominance ratio 0.972

704 Rank 138

None Age 29.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ziga Sesko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-06-20.

Alexandre Muller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ziga Sesko Alexandre Muller

1st Serve In %

66.0%

66.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.8%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%

75.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

61.9%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.0%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

69.6%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ziga Sesko Alexandre Muller

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

67.9%

Break Points Converted %

57.1%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

66.7%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ziga Sesko 0 – 0 Alexandre Muller

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-02

1. round

Alexandre Muller #138

Ziga Sesko #704

6-4 6-2

6 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 2

50 Service Points 49

27 First Serve In 28

17 First Serve Won 22

7 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Ziga Sesko vs Alexandre Muller — Prediction