ATP tennis predict — Zhizhen Zhang vs Coleman Wong

ATP Hard Hangzhou · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Zhizhen Zhang

China

28.38%

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

71.62%

Average Odds

2.31 / 1.59

Market probability

40.77% / 59.23%

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1821 vs 1703), a higher Elo rating (1830 vs 1776) and a stronger return game (39.6% vs 33.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1775.9 Elo 1829.6

1703.5 Elo (surface) 1820.6

95 Wins 47

55 Wins (surface) 46

4 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.933 Dominance ratio 1.309

168 Rank 108

29.9 Age 22.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zhizhen Zhang

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zhizhen Zhang Coleman Wong

1st Serve In %

64.7%

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

77.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

59.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.2%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.2%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.8%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.92

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zhizhen Zhang Coleman Wong

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

75.0%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.4%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

31.8%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zhizhen Zhang 0 – 1 Coleman Wong

Hard Cap Cana CH · 2026-03-10

Q1

Coleman Wong #123

Zhizhen Zhang #262

6-1 3-6 6-3

19 Aces 7

4 Double Faults 3

85 Service Points 73

53 First Serve In 46

42 First Serve Won 32

16 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Zhizhen Zhang vs Coleman Wong — Prediction