ATP tennis predict — Zdenek Kolar vs Michele Ribecai

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · R16 13:30

Predicted probability

Zdenek Kolar

Czech Republic

64.84%

Michele Ribecai

Italy

35.16%

Average Odds

1.68 / 2.09

Market probability

55.44% / 44.56%

Why This Prediction?

Zdenek Kolar is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1669 vs 1540), more wins on clay courts (193 vs 12) and a higher Elo rating (1652 vs 1600).

Player Comparison

1652.1 Elo 1600.1

1668.8 Elo (surface) 1540.1

274 Wins (Challenger) 29

193 Wins (surface) 12

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.137 Dominance ratio 0.970

196 Rank 282

30.0 Age 23.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zdenek Kolar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zdenek Kolar Michele Ribecai

1st Serve In %

61.5%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

41.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%

39.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

61.2%

38.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.2%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.1%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zdenek Kolar Michele Ribecai

Break Points Saved %

52.4%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.9%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.0%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zdenek Kolar and Michele Ribecai have never played each other.

Zdenek Kolar vs Michele Ribecai — Prediction