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Zachary Svajda vs Daniel Altmaier — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Zachary Svajda

USA

53.88%

Daniel Altmaier

Germany

46.12%

Average Odds

1.66  /  2.23

Market probability

57.33%  /  42.67%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1698.7 Elo 1752.7
1685.9 Elo (surface) 1597.7
65 Wins 117
52 Wins (surface) 44
6 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 2
0.977 Dominance ratio 1.060
80 Rank 57
None Age 28.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zachary Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Daniel Altmaier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zachary Svajda Daniel Altmaier

1st Serve In %

56.8%
61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%
72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%
43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%
28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.0%
60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%
72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.8%
50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%
38.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zachary Svajda Daniel Altmaier

Break Points Saved %

62.7%
61.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.2%
33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
62.5%

Break Points Converted %

52.5%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zachary Svajda 0 – 2 Daniel Altmaier

Hard US Open · 2026-09-02

1. round

Zachary Svajda #80

Daniel Altmaier #57

6-3 6-1 6-7 6-2
9 Aces 16
3 Double Faults 12
112 Service Points 126
57 First Serve In 80
45 First Serve Won 56
36 Second Serve Won 17
4 Break Points Saved 7
4 Break Points Faced 13
40 Winners 42
32 Unforced Errors 63
1.7 Average Odds 2.2
Hard Dallas · 2023-02-06

R32

Daniel Altmaier #99

Zachary Svajda #265

6-2 6-4
6 Aces 6
1 Double Faults 0
65 Service Points 51
35 First Serve In 32
28 First Serve Won 23
17 Second Serve Won 7
3 Break Points Saved 0
3 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Puerto Vallarta CH · 2021-11-22

QF

Daniel Altmaier #100

Zachary Svajda #483

4-6 7-6(8) 6-3
9 Aces 3
4 Double Faults 5
101 Service Points 115
51 First Serve In 82
40 First Serve Won 49
22 Second Serve Won 15
10 Break Points Saved 10
14 Break Points Faced 15
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Zachary Svajda — Last 10

L W L L W L L W L W

Daniel Altmaier — Last 10

L L W L W L W L W L