ATP tennis predict — Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Zachary Svajda

USA

37.09%

Arthur Gea

France

62.91%

Average Odds

1.81 / 2.00

Market probability

52.49% / 47.51%

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Gea is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1790 vs 1698) and a higher Elo rating (1786 vs 1715).

Player Comparison

1714.9 Elo 1785.7

1697.7 Elo (surface) 1789.7

66 Wins 20

53 Wins (surface) 16

7 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.972 Dominance ratio 1.010

80 Rank 87

None Age 21.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Zachary Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Arthur Gea

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zachary Svajda Arthur Gea

1st Serve In %

56.8%

54.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.0%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.8%

44.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Zachary Svajda Arthur Gea

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

62.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.2%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

45.3%

Break Points Converted %

52.5%

36.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Zachary Svajda 0 – 0 Arthur Gea

Hard US Open · 2026-09-04

2. round

Arthur Gea #87

Zachary Svajda #80

5-7 6-3 6-2 6-2

7 Aces 15

3 Double Faults 5

106 Service Points 123

56 First Serve In 74

34 First Serve Won 54

23 Second Serve Won 25

2 Break Points Saved 6

10 Break Points Faced 10

30 Winners 50

37 Unforced Errors 35

2 Average Odds 1.8

Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea — Prediction