ATP tennis predict — Yuta Kawahashi vs Abhishek Bastola

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:05

Predicted probability

Yuta Kawahashi

Japan

68.37%

Abhishek Bastola

Nepal

31.63%

Average Odds

1.03 / 9.97

Market probability

90.64% / 9.36%

Why This Prediction?

Yuta Kawahashi is the favorite because he has better recent form (2 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and more career match wins (2 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1322.0 Elo 1500

1329.4 Elo (surface) 1500

2 Wins (Challenger) 0

2 Wins (surface) 0

2 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.840 Dominance ratio 0.840

663 Rank -

28.6 Age 29.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yuta Kawahashi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Abhishek Bastola

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yuta Kawahashi Abhishek Bastola

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

68.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.2%

43.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

20.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

14.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yuta Kawahashi Abhishek Bastola

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

28.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yuta Kawahashi 0 – 0 Abhishek Bastola

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Yuta Kawahashi #663

Abhishek Bastola #-

6-2 6-1

2 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 3

34 Service Points 47

20 First Serve In 32

16 First Serve Won 14

12 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 10.0

Yuta Kawahashi vs Abhishek Bastola — Prediction