ATP tennis predict — Yurii Dzhavakian vs Daniil Ostapenkov

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Yurii Dzhavakian

Ukraine

15.96%

Daniil Ostapenkov

Belarus

84.04%

Average Odds

3.68 / 1.24

Market probability

25.20% / 74.80%

Why This Prediction?

Daniil Ostapenkov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1443 vs 1311), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1510 vs 1364) and fewer double faults per game (0.22 vs 0.31).

Player Comparison

1311.0 Elo 1443.3

1363.7 Elo (surface) 1510.5

9 Wins (Challenger) 9

8 Wins (surface) 5

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.800 Dominance ratio 1.156

673 Rank 536

33.2 Age 23.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yurii Dzhavakian

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Daniil Ostapenkov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yurii Dzhavakian Daniil Ostapenkov

1st Serve In %

—

52.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

59.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

55.2%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

50.3%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

45.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

42.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yurii Dzhavakian Daniil Ostapenkov

Break Points Saved %

—

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

63.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

49.2%

Break Points Converted %

59.1%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yurii Dzhavakian 0 – 0 Daniil Ostapenkov

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Daniil Ostapenkov #536

Yurii Dzhavakian #673

7-6 6-1

0 Aces 6

6 Double Faults 1

47 Service Points 54

29 First Serve In 32

23 First Serve Won 24

4 Second Serve Won 17

0 Break Points Saved 0

3 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.7

Yurii Dzhavakian vs Daniil Ostapenkov — Prediction