ATP tennis predict — Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Mees Rottgering

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Chinese Taipei

49.19%

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

50.81%

Average Odds

1.69 / 2.09

Market probability

55.29% / 44.71%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1610.8 Elo 1590.4

1645.6 Elo (surface) 1617.5

94 Wins (Challenger) 7

85 Wins (surface) 4

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.014 Dominance ratio 1.037

210 Rank 471

27.3 Age 19.0

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yu Hsiou Hsu Mees Rottgering

1st Serve In %

68.1%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.0%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yu Hsiou Hsu Mees Rottgering

Break Points Saved %

53.2%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yu Hsiou Hsu 0 – 0 Mees Rottgering

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-22

R16

Yu Hsiou Hsu #210

Mees Rottgering #471

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 4

57 Service Points 61

36 First Serve In 36

24 First Serve Won 23

10 Second Serve Won 6

3 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Mees Rottgering — Prediction