ATP tennis predict — Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Chinese Taipei

50.36%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

49.64%

Average Odds

2.02 / 1.61

Market probability

44.35% / 55.65%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1595.4 Elo 1620.2

1630.1 Elo (surface) 1637.3

93 Wins (Challenger) 20

84 Wins (surface) 20

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.964 Dominance ratio 0.736

210 Rank 380

27.3 Age 22.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yu Hsiou Hsu Jay Dylan Hara Friend

1st Serve In %

68.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.0%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yu Hsiou Hsu Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Break Points Saved %

53.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yu Hsiou Hsu 0 – 0 Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Yu Hsiou Hsu #210

Jay Dylan Hara Friend #380

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 2

70 Service Points 56

46 First Serve In 39

35 First Serve Won 23

13 Second Serve Won 11

5 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.6

Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Prediction