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Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Elias Ymer — Prediction

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 1. round 05:10

Predicted probability

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Chinese Taipei

51.04%

Elias Ymer

Sweden

48.96%

Average Odds

1.57  /  2.29

Market probability

59.33%  /  40.67%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1582.1 Elo 1624.6
1618.5 Elo (surface) 1576.8
95 Wins (Challenger) 232
86 Wins (surface) 89
7 Last 15 form 7
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.137 Dominance ratio 1.019
268 Rank 204
27.4 Age 30.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Elias Ymer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yu Hsiou Hsu Elias Ymer

1st Serve In %

68.1%
60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%
71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%
51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%
23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%
48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.0%
59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%
67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%
51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%
24.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%
45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.50
0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yu Hsiou Hsu Elias Ymer

Break Points Saved %

53.2%
62.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
39.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%
64.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%
33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yu Hsiou Hsu 10 Elias Ymer

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Yu Hsiou Hsu #268

Elias Ymer #204

7-6 5-5
6 Aces 7
1 Double Faults 3
63 Service Points 84
45 First Serve In 53
37 First Serve Won 39
10 Second Serve Won 14
0 Break Points Saved 5
1 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.3
Hard Australian Open · 2023-01-16
7-6(4) 7-6(4)
12 Aces 12
2 Double Faults 1
87 Service Points 71
53 First Serve In 45
39 First Serve Won 35
21 Second Serve Won 17
4 Break Points Saved 0
5 Break Points Faced 1
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Yu Hsiou Hsu — Last 10

L L W L L L W W L L

Elias Ymer — Last 10

L L W W L L L W L W