ATP tennis predict — Yoshihito Nishioka vs Dalibor Svrcina

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 2. round 08:30

Predicted probability

Yoshihito Nishioka

Japan

46.65%

Dalibor Svrcina

Czech Republic

53.35%

Average Odds

2.34 / 1.56

Market probability

40.00% / 60.00%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1807.0 Elo 1819.0

1778.7 Elo (surface) 1792.8

233 Wins 41

190 Wins (surface) 34

6 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.007 Dominance ratio 1.142

218 Rank 126

31.0 Age 24.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yoshihito Nishioka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-28.

Dalibor Svrcina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yoshihito Nishioka Dalibor Svrcina

1st Serve In %

66.9%

54.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.2%

43.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

37.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.8%

58.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.07

0.51

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.4%

55.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.8%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.09

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yoshihito Nishioka Dalibor Svrcina

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

49.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

52.7%

Break Points Converted %

56.0%

42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yoshihito Nishioka 1 – 0 Dalibor Svrcina

Hard Australian Open · 2023-01-16

R64

Yoshihito Nishioka #33

Dalibor Svrcina #216

6-3 6-4 6-2

2 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 6

77 Service Points 91

51 First Serve In 73

33 First Serve Won 40

20 Second Serve Won 6

1 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Yoshihito Nishioka vs Dalibor Svrcina — Prediction