ATP tennis predict — Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng

ATP Hard Shanghai · 1. round 12:05

Predicted probability

Yibing Wu

China

41.94%

Michael Zheng

USA

58.06%

Average Odds

1.78 / 2.03

Market probability

53.28% / 46.72%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Zheng is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (39.3% vs 33.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1864.3 Elo 1858.1

1863.8 Elo (surface) 1808.5

54 Wins 20

46 Wins (surface) 15

5 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.894 Dominance ratio 0.993

113 Rank 94

27.0 Age 22.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yibing Wu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yibing Wu Michael Zheng

1st Serve In %

60.4%

54.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.5%

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

78.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

56.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yibing Wu Michael Zheng

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%

30.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

69.1%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yibing Wu 1 – 0 Michael Zheng

Hard Cary CH · 2025-06-30

QF

Yibing Wu #285

Michael Zheng #498

6-2 6-3

5 Aces 9

6 Double Faults 2

60 Service Points 63

35 First Serve In 38

26 First Serve Won 26

13 Second Serve Won 6

6 Break Points Saved 7

7 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng — Prediction