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Yaroslav Demin vs Sidharth Rawat — Prediction

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Yaroslav Demin

Russia

43.04%

Sidharth Rawat

India

56.96%

Average Odds

1.37  /  2.87

Market probability

67.69%  /  32.31%

Why This Prediction?

Sidharth Rawat is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (51 vs 1), more career match wins (52 vs 3) and more aces per game (0.10 vs 0.07).

Player Comparison

1377.6 Elo 1312.1
1304.3 Elo (surface) 1317.4
3 Wins (Challenger) 52
1 Wins (surface) 51
3 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.757 Dominance ratio 0.985
670 Rank 540
20.9 Age 33.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yaroslav Demin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Sidharth Rawat

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yaroslav Demin Sidharth Rawat

1st Serve In %

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

35.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.7%
58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%
70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.5%
45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%
35.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%
52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.22
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.46
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yaroslav Demin Sidharth Rawat

Break Points Saved %

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.9%
53.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.0%
34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yaroslav Demin 00 Sidharth Rawat

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Sidharth Rawat #540

Yaroslav Demin #670

6-4 6-2
3 Aces 0
6 Double Faults 1
63 Service Points 45
37 First Serve In 28
24 First Serve Won 22
8 Second Serve Won 13
3 Break Points Saved 2
7 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Yaroslav Demin — Last 10

L L L W W L L L L L

Sidharth Rawat — Last 10

L L W W L W L L L L