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Yaroslav Demin vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine — Prediction

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.45  /  2.55

Market probability

63.75%  /  36.25%

Why This Prediction?

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1350 vs 1304), a stronger serve (63.4% vs 54.1% of service points won) and more career match wins (18 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1377.6 Elo 1331.2
1304.3 Elo (surface) 1350.0
3 Wins (Challenger) 18
1 Wins (surface) 9
3 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.757 Dominance ratio 1.030
668 Rank 504
20.9 Age 27.5
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yaroslav Demin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yaroslav Demin Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.7%
62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%
67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.5%
51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%
30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%
47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.22
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.46
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yaroslav Demin Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

62.9%
60.5%

Break Points Converted %

48.0%
39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yaroslav Demin and Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine have never played each other.

Yaroslav Demin — Last 10

L L L W W L L L L L

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine — Last 10

L W L L L L L W W W