ATP tennis predict — Yaojie Zeng vs Akira Santillan

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Yaojie Zeng

China

21.77%

Akira Santillan

Australia

78.23%

Average Odds

3.44 / 1.28

Market probability

27.12% / 72.88%

Why This Prediction?

Akira Santillan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1564 vs 1332), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1545 vs 1324) and more wins on hard courts (114 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1332.2 Elo 1563.5

1324.4 Elo (surface) 1545.2

6 Wins (Challenger) 162

6 Wins (surface) 114

5 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.761 Dominance ratio 1.002

976 Rank 331

24.6 Age 29.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yaojie Zeng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Akira Santillan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–8L · 27.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yaojie Zeng Akira Santillan

1st Serve In %

—

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

73.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.7%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.6%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yaojie Zeng Akira Santillan

Break Points Saved %

—

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.2%

52.1%

Break Points Converted %

31.0%

44.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yaojie Zeng 0 – 1 Akira Santillan

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-14

1. round

Akira Santillan #319

Yaojie Zeng #991

7-5 6-3

3 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

30 First Serve Won 42

5 Second Serve Won 4

3 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Hard Zhangjiagang CH · 2025-08-25

Q1

Akira Santillan #516

Yaojie Zeng #887

6-3 6-1

3 Aces 9

2 Double Faults 7

52 Service Points 54

38 First Serve In 26

28 First Serve Won 17

5 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Yaojie Zeng vs Akira Santillan — Prediction