ATP tennis predict — Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherot

ATP Clay Gstaad · R16

Predicted probability

Yannick Hanfmann

Germany

61.86%

Valentin Vacherot

Monaco

38.14%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.52

Market probability

62.53% / 37.47%

Why This Prediction?

Yannick Hanfmann is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1723 vs 1594), more wins on clay courts (84 vs 46) and a higher Elo rating (1749 vs 1738).

Player Comparison

1748.6 Elo 1737.5

1722.6 Elo (surface) 1593.9

189 Wins 49

109 Wins (surface) 20

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.819 Dominance ratio 1.092

51 Rank 21

34.7 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannick Hanfmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Valentin Vacherot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Valentin Vacherot

1st Serve In %

60.7%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Valentin Vacherot

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

73.2%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannick Hanfmann 0 – 0 Valentin Vacherot

Clay Gstaad · 2026-07-15

R16

Valentin Vacherot #21

Yannick Hanfmann #51

4-6 6-3 6-4

7 Aces 13

1 Double Faults 3

93 Service Points 93

53 First Serve In 67

34 First Serve Won 49

25 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 7

4 Break Points Faced 8

27 Winners 37

31 Unforced Errors 31

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherot — Prediction