ATP tennis predict — Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borges

ATP Hard Montreal · 3. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Yannick Hanfmann

Germany

34.49%

Nuno Borges

Portugal

65.51%

Average Odds

2.26 / 1.62

Market probability

41.75% / 58.25%

Why This Prediction?

Nuno Borges is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1736 vs 1625), a higher Elo rating (1785 vs 1775) and a stronger return game (40.5% vs 32.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1775.4 Elo 1784.9

1624.8 Elo (surface) 1736.5

194 Wins 107

57 Wins (surface) 58

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.924 Dominance ratio 1.314

57 Rank 55

34.7 Age 29.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannick Hanfmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Nuno Borges

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Nuno Borges

1st Serve In %

60.7%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

78.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Nuno Borges

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

56.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannick Hanfmann 0 – 0 Nuno Borges

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-06

3. round

Nuno Borges #55

Yannick Hanfmann #57

6-4 6-2

8 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 4

57 Service Points 49

34 First Serve In 28

26 First Serve Won 25

5 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 0

17 Winners 10

31 Unforced Errors 15

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borges — Prediction