ATP tennis predict — Yannick Hanfmann vs Marco Trungelliti

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · R16

Predicted probability

Yannick Hanfmann

Germany

58.63%

Marco Trungelliti

Argentina

41.37%

Average Odds

1.47 / 2.67

Market probability

64.49% / 35.51%

Why This Prediction?

Yannick Hanfmann is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1747 vs 1667), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1718 vs 1715) and fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.12).

Player Comparison

1746.7 Elo 1666.7

1718.0 Elo (surface) 1715.1

190 Wins 128

110 Wins (surface) 74

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.808 Dominance ratio 0.813

52 Rank 95

34.7 Age 36.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannick Hanfmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Marco Trungelliti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Marco Trungelliti

1st Serve In %

60.7%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

66.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

38.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Marco Trungelliti

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

63.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannick Hanfmann 0 – 1 Marco Trungelliti

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-22

R16

Yannick Hanfmann #52

Marco Trungelliti #95

6-4 7-6

4 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 2

83 Service Points 61

50 First Serve In 37

30 First Serve Won 30

21 Second Serve Won 14

7 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 1

19 Winners 29

31 Unforced Errors 30

1.5 Average Odds 2.7

Clay Rio de Janeiro · 2025-02-17

Q1

Marco Trungelliti #146

Yannick Hanfmann #101

6-4 6-3

3 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 1

62 Service Points 56

26 First Serve In 37

21 First Serve Won 22

17 Second Serve Won 7

1 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Yannick Hanfmann vs Marco Trungelliti — Prediction