ATP tennis predict — Yannick Hanfmann vs Lukas Neumayer

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · 1. round

Predicted probability

Yannick Hanfmann

Germany

45.51%

Lukas Neumayer

Austria

54.49%

Average Odds

1.32 / 3.37

Market probability

71.86% / 28.14%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1738.5 Elo 1680.2

1705.8 Elo (surface) 1698.4

189 Wins 12

109 Wins (surface) 9

7 Last 15 form 5

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.868 Dominance ratio 0.970

52 Rank 172

34.7 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannick Hanfmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Lukas Neumayer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Lukas Neumayer

1st Serve In %

60.7%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

39.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Lukas Neumayer

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

63.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannick Hanfmann 1 – 0 Lukas Neumayer

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-20

1. round

Yannick Hanfmann #52

Lukas Neumayer #172

7-6 6-4

5 Aces 16

3 Double Faults 1

84 Service Points 57

49 First Serve In 32

31 First Serve Won 29

21 Second Serve Won 17

1 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 2

14 Winners 46

26 Unforced Errors 33

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Clay Kitzbuhel · 2025-07-21

R32

Yannick Hanfmann #141

Lukas Neumayer #162

7-5 6-2

8 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 1

64 Service Points 75

36 First Serve In 42

28 First Serve Won 25

15 Second Serve Won 15

6 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Yannick Hanfmann vs Lukas Neumayer — Prediction