ATP tennis predict — Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Assche

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Yannick Hanfmann

Germany

42.46%

Luca Van Assche

France

57.54%

Average Odds

1.73 / 2.08

Market probability

54.59% / 45.41%

Why This Prediction?

Luca Van Assche is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (40.3% vs 33.2% of return points won) and more wins on hard courts (65 vs 52).

Player Comparison

1765.9 Elo 1773.6

1614.8 Elo (surface) 1598.3

194 Wins 58

57 Wins (surface) 31

9 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.933 Dominance ratio 1.063

57 Rank 49

34.8 Age 22.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannick Hanfmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Luca Van Assche

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Luca Van Assche

1st Serve In %

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

55.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Luca Van Assche

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

49.2%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

41.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

48.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannick Hanfmann 1 – 0 Luca Van Assche

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-14

1. round

Yannick Hanfmann #57

Luca Van Assche #49

6-2 6-4

10 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 4

59 Service Points 68

35 First Serve In 41

28 First Serve Won 24

13 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 8

28 Winners 14

33 Unforced Errors 24

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Hard Miami Masters · 2026-03-18

Q2

Yannick Hanfmann #64

Luca Van Assche #106

6-1 5-7 6-3

9 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 5

84 Service Points 95

55 First Serve In 56

41 First Serve Won 37

16 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Assche — Prediction