ATP tennis predict — Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak

ATP Hard Shanghai · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Yannick Hanfmann

Germany

56.97%

Kamil Majchrzak

Poland

43.03%

Average Odds

2.27 / 1.61

Market probability

41.49% / 58.51%

Why This Prediction?

Yannick Hanfmann is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1824 vs 1820), a stronger return game (39.1% vs 35.7% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating (1919 vs 1914).

Player Comparison

1918.7 Elo 1913.6

1823.8 Elo (surface) 1819.7

195 Wins 109

58 Wins (surface) 69

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.163 Dominance ratio 1.113

57 Rank 70

34.9 Age 30.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannick Hanfmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Kamil Majchrzak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Kamil Majchrzak

1st Serve In %

61.0%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.1%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

25.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.68

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Kamil Majchrzak

Break Points Saved %

66.0%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannick Hanfmann 0 – 1 Kamil Majchrzak

Clay Szczecin CH · 2021-09-13

SF

Kamil Majchrzak #139

Yannick Hanfmann #132

6-3 6-3

2 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 1

53 Service Points 58

27 First Serve In 33

21 First Serve Won 18

18 Second Serve Won 12

4 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak — Prediction