ATP tennis predict — Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe

ATP Hard Shanghai · 2. round 08:30

Predicted probability

Yannick Hanfmann

Germany

32.40%

Frances Tiafoe

USA

67.60%

Average Odds

3.10 / 1.36

Market probability

30.49% / 69.51%

Why This Prediction?

Frances Tiafoe is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2031 vs 1838), a higher Elo rating (2096 vs 1928) and more wins on hard courts (210 vs 59).

Player Comparison

1928.2 Elo 2096.1

1838.0 Elo (surface) 2031.1

196 Wins 302

59 Wins (surface) 210

8 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.163 Dominance ratio 0.885

57 Rank 8

34.9 Age 28.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannick Hanfmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Frances Tiafoe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Frances Tiafoe

1st Serve In %

61.1%

53.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

72.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.79

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Frances Tiafoe

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

70.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannick Hanfmann 1 – 1 Frances Tiafoe

Hard Shanghai Masters · 2025-10-01

R64

Yannick Hanfmann #150

Frances Tiafoe #28

6-7(9) 6-2 6-1

21 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 4

96 Service Points 98

70 First Serve In 51

50 First Serve Won 33

15 Second Serve Won 25

1 Break Points Saved 12

3 Break Points Faced 18

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Grass Stuttgart · 2024-06-10

R16

Frances Tiafoe #28

Yannick Hanfmann #91

7-5 7-6(5)

13 Aces 10

3 Double Faults 3

100 Service Points 85

61 First Serve In 67

48 First Serve Won 49

18 Second Serve Won 8

11 Break Points Saved 4

11 Break Points Faced 5