ATP tennis predict — Yannick Hanfmann vs Flavio Cobolli

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 03:55

Predicted probability

Yannick Hanfmann

Germany

42.46%

Flavio Cobolli

Italy

57.54%

Average Odds

2.25 / 1.64

Market probability

42.16% / 57.84%

Why This Prediction?

Flavio Cobolli is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1794 vs 1765), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1622 vs 1610) and a stronger return game (39.5% vs 32.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1764.8 Elo 1793.9

1609.8 Elo (surface) 1621.7

193 Wins 130

56 Wins (surface) 63

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.953 Dominance ratio 1.165

57 Rank 9

34.7 Age 24.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannick Hanfmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Flavio Cobolli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Flavio Cobolli

1st Serve In %

60.7%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

52.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Flavio Cobolli

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

67.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

32.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannick Hanfmann 0 – 0 Flavio Cobolli

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-05

2. round

Yannick Hanfmann #57

Flavio Cobolli #9

7-6 7-6

7 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 3

88 Service Points 93

56 First Serve In 56

33 First Serve Won 37

16 Second Serve Won 17

8 Break Points Saved 6

12 Break Points Faced 10

20 Winners 27

30 Unforced Errors 49

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Yannick Hanfmann vs Flavio Cobolli — Prediction