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Yannick Hanfmann vs Benjamin Bonzi — Prediction

ATP Hard Montreal · 1. round

Predicted probability

Yannick Hanfmann

Germany

46.95%

Benjamin Bonzi

France

53.05%

Average Odds

1.79  /  2.02

Market probability

53.02%  /  46.98%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1754.0 Elo 1792.2
1597.7 Elo (surface) 1538.2
192 Wins 99
55 Wins (surface) 59
8 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.004 Dominance ratio 1.118
57 Rank 103
34.7 Age 30.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannick Hanfmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Benjamin Bonzi

1st Serve In %

60.7%
57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%
72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%
48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%
24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%
53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.63
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%
63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%
71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%
49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%
28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%
49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.81
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Benjamin Bonzi

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
55.4%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%
38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%
63.3%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%
37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannick Hanfmann 00 Benjamin Bonzi

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-04
6-1 4-6 6-2
9 Aces 7
8 Double Faults 2
86 Service Points 87
57 First Serve In 47
33 First Serve Won 29
10 Second Serve Won 25
3 Break Points Saved 5
9 Break Points Faced 8
23 Winners 34
39 Unforced Errors 29
1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Yannick Hanfmann — Last 10

L L W L W W L W W W

Benjamin Bonzi — Last 10

L W W L W W W W L W