ATP tennis predict — Yannick Hanfmann vs Arthur Fils

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Yannick Hanfmann

Germany

29.62%

Arthur Fils

France

70.38%

Average Odds

3.39 / 1.32

Market probability

28.03% / 71.97%

Why This Prediction?

Arthur Fils is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1838 vs 1629), a higher Elo rating (1847 vs 1776) and more wins on hard courts (70 vs 58).

Player Comparison

1775.9 Elo 1846.7

1628.6 Elo (surface) 1838.2

195 Wins 123

58 Wins (surface) 70

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.035 Dominance ratio 0.785

57 Rank 24

34.8 Age 22.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannick Hanfmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Arthur Fils

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Arthur Fils

1st Serve In %

60.7%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

55.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Hanfmann Arthur Fils

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

34.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

47.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannick Hanfmann 0 – 1 Arthur Fils

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-16

2. round

Arthur Fils #21

Yannick Hanfmann #55

7-6 6-1

7 Aces 7

7 Double Faults 2

67 Service Points 63

36 First Serve In 37

26 First Serve Won 29

12 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 4

18 Winners 10

33 Unforced Errors 24

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Clay Monte Carlo Masters · 2024-04-08

R64

Arthur Fils #36

Yannick Hanfmann #61

6-0 6-2

0 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 2

42 Service Points 43

25 First Serve In 28

21 First Serve Won 12

8 Second Serve Won 3

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Yannick Hanfmann vs Arthur Fils — Prediction