← Back to Predictions

Yannick Alexandrescou vs Radu Mihai Papoe — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · QF 15:30

Predicted probability

Radu Mihai Papoe

Romania

63.42%

Average Odds

3.04  /  1.34

Market probability

30.59%  /  69.41%

Why This Prediction?

Radu Mihai Papoe is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1660 vs 1616), a stronger return game (47.3% vs 38.4% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating (1624 vs 1615).

Player Comparison

1615.1 Elo 1623.7
1616.0 Elo (surface) 1659.5
4 Wins (Challenger) 22
4 Wins (surface) 19
4 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.891 Dominance ratio 1.193
928 Rank 352
18.6 Age 23.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannick Alexandrescou

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Radu Mihai Papoe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Alexandrescou Radu Mihai Papoe

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

67.3%
64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.8%
59.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%
47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.2%
42.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%
55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.06
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannick Alexandrescou Radu Mihai Papoe

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%
40.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
47.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannick Alexandrescou 00 Radu Mihai Papoe

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-07
0 Aces 0
4 Double Faults 0
55 Service Points 71
33 First Serve In 47
17 First Serve Won 27
4 Second Serve Won 10
3 Break Points Saved 6
10 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.0

Yannick Alexandrescou — Last 8

L W W L L W W L

Radu Mihai Papoe — Last 10

L W W W W L W W W L