ATP tennis predict — Yannic Nittmann vs Valerio Aboian

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Yannic Nittmann

Germany

13.23%

Valerio Aboian

Argentina

86.77%

Average Odds

4.56 / 1.17

Market probability

20.42% / 79.58%

Why This Prediction?

Valerio Aboian is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1559 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1532 vs 1500) and better recent form (9 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1500 Elo 1532.5

1500 Elo (surface) 1558.9

0 Wins (Challenger) 65

0 Wins (surface) 65

0 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.914 Dominance ratio 0.914

2200 Rank 424

None Age 24.1

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yannic Nittmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Valerio Aboian

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannic Nittmann Valerio Aboian

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

63.3%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.6%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.3%

41.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

62.8%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yannic Nittmann Valerio Aboian

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

64.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

43.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yannic Nittmann 0 – 0 Valerio Aboian

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Valerio Aboian #299

Yannic Nittmann #-

6-3 6-2

2 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 2

77 Service Points 49

34 First Serve In 31

22 First Serve Won 25

16 Second Serve Won 8

6 Break Points Saved 2

11 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.6

Yannic Nittmann vs Valerio Aboian — Prediction