ATP tennis predict — Yanki Erel vs Radu Albot

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · R16 11:00

Predicted probability

Yanki Erel

Turkey

50.32%

Radu Albot

Moldavsko

49.68%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.41

Market probability

61.64% / 38.36%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1615.9 Elo 1602.9

1628.5 Elo (surface) 1589.9

42 Wins (Challenger) 261

34 Wins (surface) 151

9 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.812 Dominance ratio 1.274

305 Rank 497

26.0 Age 36.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yanki Erel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Radu Albot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanki Erel Radu Albot

1st Serve In %

60.4%

63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.8%

66.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanki Erel Radu Albot

Break Points Saved %

61.3%

46.8%

Break Points Converted %

52.4%

32.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

54.7%

Break Points Converted %

29.1%

46.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yanki Erel 1 – 0 Radu Albot

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-10

R16

Yanki Erel #305

Radu Albot #497

6-4 6-2

2 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

24 First Serve Won 19

11 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-07-29

R16

Yanki Erel #287

Radu Albot #519

6-1 6-7 6-4

3 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 2

112 Service Points 97

73 First Serve In 68

49 First Serve Won 50

17 Second Serve Won 15

10 Break Points Saved 4

15 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Yanki Erel vs Radu Albot — Prediction