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Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Leo Raquillet — Prediction

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Leo Raquillet

France

56.83%

Average Odds

1.84  /  1.88

Market probability

50.54%  /  49.46%

Why This Prediction?

Leo Raquillet is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (7 vs 4), more career match wins (12 vs 5) and a higher Elo rating (1434 vs 1432).

Player Comparison

1432.1 Elo 1433.9
1541.4 Elo (surface) 1413.0
5 Wins (Challenger) 12
4 Wins (surface) 7
5 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.986 Dominance ratio 1.001
595 Rank 662
26.2 Age 20.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Leo Raquillet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand Leo Raquillet

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.4%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%
63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

61.1%
45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%
35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.1%
48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.34
0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand Leo Raquillet

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

54.3%
45.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.9%
48.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yanis Ghazouani Durand 00 Leo Raquillet

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-15
6-1 6-4
2 Aces 3
2 Double Faults 0
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
19 First Serve Won 25
4 Second Serve Won 10
4 Break Points Saved 2
9 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.5 Average Odds 2.5
Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Yanis Ghazouani Durand #595

Leo Raquillet #662

6-1 6-3
5 Aces 1
4 Double Faults 0
44 Service Points 50
22 First Serve In 33
18 First Serve Won 17
13 Second Serve Won 5
0 Break Points Saved 2
1 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Last 10

L L W W W L W W W L

Leo Raquillet — Last 10

L L W L W L L L L W