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Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batalla — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Yanaki Milev

Bulgaria

22.96%

Average Odds

4.25  /  1.18

Market probability

21.73%  /  78.27%

Why This Prediction?

Oriol Roca Batalla is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1622 vs 1368), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1634 vs 1330) and a stronger serve (67.1% vs 60.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1367.8 Elo 1622.4
1330.2 Elo (surface) 1634.2
14 Wins (Challenger) 172
13 Wins (surface) 161
6 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.891 Dominance ratio 1.322
750 Rank 338
22.3 Age 33.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yanaki Milev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-08-03.

Oriol Roca Batalla

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanaki Milev Oriol Roca Batalla

1st Serve In %

58.9%
64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.4%
67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%
46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%
27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%
45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.4%
64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%
68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.2%
55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%
35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.9%
54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanaki Milev Oriol Roca Batalla

Break Points Saved %

51.6%
50.8%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%
24.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.9%
65.1%

Break Points Converted %

38.1%
45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yanaki Milev 00 Oriol Roca Batalla

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-03
6-4 6-4
2 Aces 0
5 Double Faults 3
68 Service Points 65
39 First Serve In 36
27 First Serve Won 24
15 Second Serve Won 12
7 Break Points Saved 7
9 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
4.2 Average Odds 1.2

Yanaki Milev — Last 10

L W W L W W W W L W

Oriol Roca Batalla — Last 10

L W L W W L W W L W