ATP tennis predict — Yanaki Milev vs Kirill Kivattsev

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Yanaki Milev

Bulgaria

87.94%

Kirill Kivattsev

Russia

12.06%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.37

Market probability

61.08% / 38.92%

Why This Prediction?

Yanaki Milev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1564 vs 1437), a higher Elo rating (1567 vs 1427) and a stronger serve (63.0% vs 60.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1567.4 Elo 1427.0

1563.6 Elo (surface) 1436.6

19 Wins (Challenger) 26

18 Wins (surface) 16

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.019 Dominance ratio 0.870

627 Rank 577

22.4 Age 28.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yanaki Milev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-08-03.

Kirill Kivattsev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanaki Milev Kirill Kivattsev

1st Serve In %

58.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.25

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.4%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.2%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%

24.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.9%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanaki Milev Kirill Kivattsev

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

38.1%

41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yanaki Milev 0 – 1 Kirill Kivattsev

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Yanaki Milev #627

Kirill Kivattsev #584

6-1 3-6 6-3

2 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

26 First Serve Won 38

22 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Clay Barletta CH · 2024-04-01

Q2

Kirill Kivattsev #545

Yanaki Milev #511

6-2 6-3

2 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 2

54 Service Points 46

34 First Serve In 26

30 First Serve Won 15

7 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Yanaki Milev vs Kirill Kivattsev — Prediction