ATP tennis predict — Yanaki Milev vs Ignacio Parisca

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · R16 14:40

Predicted probability

Yanaki Milev

Bulgaria

38.23%

Ignacio Parisca

Venezuela

61.77%

Average Odds

2.04 / 1.72

Market probability

45.74% / 54.26%

Why This Prediction?

Ignacio Parisca is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1589 vs 1409), a higher Elo rating (1570 vs 1438) and a lighter recent match load (65 vs 95 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1437.8 Elo 1569.9

1409.2 Elo (surface) 1589.0

16 Wins (Challenger) 6

15 Wins (surface) 6

7 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.991 Dominance ratio 0.912

866 Rank 721

22.4 Age 21.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yanaki Milev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-08-03.

Ignacio Parisca

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanaki Milev Ignacio Parisca

1st Serve In %

58.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.25

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.4%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.2%

41.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.9%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanaki Milev Ignacio Parisca

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

38.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.1%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yanaki Milev 0 – 0 Ignacio Parisca

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-03

R16

Yanaki Milev #866

Ignacio Parisca #721

7-5 6-0

3 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 5

56 Service Points 59

34 First Serve In 29

22 First Serve Won 19

14 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Yanaki Milev vs Ignacio Parisca — Prediction