ATP tennis predict — Yanaki Milev vs Federico Iannaccone

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Yanaki Milev

Bulgaria

62.93%

Federico Iannaccone

Italy

37.07%

Average Odds

1.92 / 1.79

Market probability

48.25% / 51.75%

Why This Prediction?

Yanaki Milev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1668 vs 1577), a higher Elo rating (1673 vs 1601) and better recent form (2 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1672.8 Elo 1600.9

1668.1 Elo (surface) 1576.8

27 Wins (Challenger) 45

26 Wins (surface) 38

12 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.019 Dominance ratio 1.185

619 Rank 587

22.5 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yanaki Milev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-08-03.

Federico Iannaccone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanaki Milev Federico Iannaccone

1st Serve In %

58.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.25

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

72.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

56.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

55.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.13

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanaki Milev Federico Iannaccone

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

51.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

45.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yanaki Milev and Federico Iannaccone have never played each other.

Yanaki Milev vs Federico Iannaccone — Prediction