ATP tennis predict — Yanaki Milev vs Carlos Sanchez Jover

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · QF 16:30

Predicted probability

Yanaki Milev

Bulgaria

49.48%

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Spain

50.52%

Average Odds

2.44 / 1.50

Market probability

38.07% / 61.93%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1652.9 Elo 1667.4

1650.7 Elo (surface) 1661.2

25 Wins (Challenger) 96

24 Wins (surface) 91

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.019 Dominance ratio 0.949

619 Rank 335

22.5 Age 26.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Yanaki Milev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-08-03.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanaki Milev Carlos Sanchez Jover

1st Serve In %

58.9%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.4%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%

38.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.6%

58.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

55.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

38.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

56.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Yanaki Milev Carlos Sanchez Jover

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

63.8%

Break Points Converted %

35.8%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Yanaki Milev and Carlos Sanchez Jover have never played each other.

Yanaki Milev vs Carlos Sanchez Jover — Prediction