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William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Louis Wessels — Prediction

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Average Odds

3.55  /  1.26

Market probability

26.20%  /  73.80%

Why This Prediction?

Louis Wessels is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1512 vs 1338), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1518 vs 1355) and better recent form (10 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1337.6 Elo 1512.3
1355.0 Elo (surface) 1518.4
0 Wins (Challenger) 51
0 Wins (surface) 36
0 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.833 Dominance ratio 0.971
934 Rank 723
None Age 27.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Louis Wessels

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Louis Wessels

1st Serve In %

62.8%
63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%
68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.3%
49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%
21.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.6%
49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.37
0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%
69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%
45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%
30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%
41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41
0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Louis Wessels

Break Points Saved %

61.9%
59.7%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%
29.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

39.1%
45.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%
29.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra 00 Louis Wessels

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Louis Wessels #539

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra #933

6-4 6-1
2 Aces 2
9 Double Faults 3
84 Service Points 44
44 First Serve In 21
26 First Serve Won 15
16 Second Serve Won 18
6 Break Points Saved 0
10 Break Points Faced 0
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.5

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra — Last 10

L L L L W W L L L L

Louis Wessels — Last 10

L L L W W L W W W L