ATP tennis predict — William Manning vs Gavin Young

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 17:30

Predicted probability

William Manning

USA

64.86%

Gavin Young

USA

35.14%

Average Odds

3.44 / 1.24

Market probability

26.50% / 73.50%

Why This Prediction?

William Manning is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1546 vs 1439), a higher Elo rating (1540 vs 1424) and better recent form (2 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1).

Player Comparison

1539.6 Elo 1424.5

1546.3 Elo (surface) 1438.8

2 Wins (Challenger) 1

2 Wins (surface) 1

2 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.509 Dominance ratio 0.834

1101 Rank 552

21.6 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

William Manning

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Gavin Young

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

William Manning Gavin Young

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.0%

23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.7%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

William Manning Gavin Young

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

William Manning 0 – 0 Gavin Young

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Gavin Young #552

William Manning #1101

6-2 6-4

2 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 0

51 Service Points 44

28 First Serve In 28

21 First Serve Won 23

7 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.4

William Manning vs Gavin Young — Prediction