ATP tennis predict — Vitaliy Sachko vs Thiago Monteiro

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · R16 13:00

Predicted probability

Vitaliy Sachko

Ukraine

46.64%

Thiago Monteiro

Brazil

53.36%

Average Odds

1.94 / 1.78

Market probability

47.85% / 52.15%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1734.5 Elo 1758.3

1723.1 Elo (surface) 1758.4

175 Wins (Challenger) 255

113 Wins (surface) 241

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.043 Dominance ratio 1.143

182 Rank 282

29.2 Age 32.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Vitaliy Sachko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Thiago Monteiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-07-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vitaliy Sachko Thiago Monteiro

1st Serve In %

62.8%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.6%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.0%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vitaliy Sachko Thiago Monteiro

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.9%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Vitaliy Sachko 0 – 0 Thiago Monteiro

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Thiago Monteiro #282

Vitaliy Sachko #182

6-7 6-4 7-6

9 Aces 8

7 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

54 First Serve Won 60

22 Second Serve Won 17

3 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Vitaliy Sachko vs Thiago Monteiro — Prediction