ATP tennis predict — Vitaliy Sachko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Vitaliy Sachko

Ukraine

31.48%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Spain

68.52%

Average Odds

2.71 / 1.37

Market probability

33.58% / 66.42%

Why This Prediction?

Pablo Llamas Ruiz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1549 vs 1465), a stronger serve (70.0% vs 54.2% of service points won) and a stronger return game (42.1% vs 40.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1661.9 Elo 1595.9

1465.3 Elo (surface) 1549.1

24 Wins 35

14 Wins (surface) 10

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.788 Dominance ratio 1.313

188 Rank 126

29.1 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Vitaliy Sachko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vitaliy Sachko Pablo Llamas Ruiz

1st Serve In %

62.8%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.6%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.0%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.08

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vitaliy Sachko Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

63.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.9%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Vitaliy Sachko 0 – 0 Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Hard US Open · 2026-08-27

qualification - 2. round

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #126

Vitaliy Sachko #188

6-2 4-6 7-6

6 Aces 14

5 Double Faults 0

129 Service Points 101

77 First Serve In 70

53 First Serve Won 54

23 Second Serve Won 14

11 Break Points Saved 2

15 Break Points Faced 5

44 Winners 32

56 Unforced Errors 23

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Vitaliy Sachko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — Prediction